Sunday, April 8, 2012

tera power leveling the urbanization rate "jumped" by 4.67% - PHX

129774133124375000_81According to the National Bureau of statistics data, 2011 China's urbanization rate reached 51.67%. If the urbanization rate close to 18% in 1980 as a starting point, to average 1% speeds of advance of China's urbanization, last year is an important time: more than half of urban population! However simple averages of thought often lead to misleading, dismantling the past 31 yearsThe urbanisation of the lifting speed of urbanization rate in four years for 1980-1989, between 1990-1999 and 0.45%, between 2000-2009 and 1.43%, but between the 2010-2011 of two years, the urbanization rate "jumped" by 4.67%, over 1990-1999 years ten yearsAnd!  In 2000-2011 years, rigidity of cities is behind the rise of urbanization accelerates. Urbanization rate of "jumping" usually occurs in the stage turning points. If it is divided into three stages of urbanization: rate 20%~35% for the early stage of urbanization, 5%~50% for the accelerated phase, 50%~65% stage, 2011 is the starting point of the stage of completion of urbanization tera power leveling, urban population accounted for more than 20% to be 65%~70%. If a 12~15 million of China's population growth as a base for calculation, which is unprecedented in the history of human civilization great migration of the population! Promotion of China's urban population from 250 million to 1 billion or so. And the corresponding, scarcity of urban spaceFrom relative to absolute scarcity of scarcity, scarcity as a General property of wealth creation through monetary liquidity urbanization space of "premium". So, seemingly unreasonable high housing prices have a relatively reasonable. Because house prices are not only associated with income levels and levels, and allocation of scarce resources, high house prices exist and continue toUnreasonable speed challenges residents of the bottom line, is due to appear in the city has a wealth of new urbanized space dependent premiums. Once urbanization from the relative scarcity of space upgrades an absolute scarcity, spatial dependence of premium is bound to improve tera power leveling, and human social system of allocation of scarce resources to select only three: violence, power and money. Compared to the three, based on the currencyResidential commercialization of nature is more reasonable, but a reasonable institutional arrangements will form the unreasonable high price!. Some scholars have said that, per capita floor space of residential buildings in China is very high, thinking this is an average figure of misleading, because the rate of urbanization of "jumping" will not bring prices General Rose. At completion stage of urbanization will have some urban marginalized, those marginalizedCity exodus due to fewer jobs, China as well as Europe and Australia also appear at this time tera gold, "ghost town", or "urbanization". At this stage, urbanization------urbanization to urbanization taking place at reciprocal conditions, when urbanization into "Shuffle" stage: in population into the city, from the relative scarcity of space to an absoluteScarce; in the outflow of city space from the relative scarcity of scarcity to no longer; there are also city will sharply or even death, to avoid migration needs "urbanization". Special stage is a non-balanced development of urbanization, compound is non-balanced rate of urbanization, population and flows of money but also of non-equilibrium, dynamics of non-equilibrium development will inevitably lead to unreasonableNon-equilibrium prices. Dynamics of non-equilibrium process of urbanization is not only from the market, and comes from a non-equilibrium of water and land resources. And the party people, out of the scarcity of water and land resources to talk about the so-called reasonable prices, will never be able to understand the rationality of city housing price is not reasonable. Others:

No comments:

Post a Comment